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2024-12-13 04:57:07

If you deal with it, it will open higher tomorrow, but it is suitable for high-throwing and low-sucking operation, not suitable for chasing up, remember! Everything is based on the closing price, not standing at 3489.79 points, at most it is a small high point, and it is still a low-sucking opportunity if you step back; However, if the closing price stands at 3489.79, the adjustment level and nature may change. We will talk about this at that time. Now, we just need to know that we should not chase after this position.After the official media blew on the weekend, as a result, today's A-shares just rallied and closed a shrinking cross star. Needless to say, after all, it was mainly speculation, so all kinds of catalysis and cashing in the session were staged at the same time, which seemed a bit chaotic. The key is that the after-hours meeting will be good, and both Hong Kong stocks and A50 index will rise violently. So where will Big A go tomorrow?Second, open higher and go lower tomorrow, and continue to shake and digest and deviate from the structure without breaking through the 3489.79 point. As long as the MACD indicator shows a dead fork again, the former peak value (128.62) is not referential, and the second peak value is 96.575 points. Relatively speaking, if it breaks through 3489.79 points later, the disappearance of deviation should be a high probability event.


Because the technical side still faces the same problem on November 8, that is, once the closing price is higher than 3489.78, it will face the technical suppression of daily deviation. Therefore, we should make two preparations: First, we should accelerate directly and digest the technical deviation here. However, this process may be very long. After all, the index has not fallen much, but the MACD indicator is far from the peak, which is difficult to digest easily.Second, open higher and go lower tomorrow, and continue to shake and digest and deviate from the structure without breaking through the 3489.79 point. As long as the MACD indicator shows a dead fork again, the former peak value (128.62) is not referential, and the second peak value is 96.575 points. Relatively speaking, if it breaks through 3489.79 points later, the disappearance of deviation should be a high probability event.To sum up, the top management doesn't want to go crazy here, but wants to go slow, so if the 100-point high opening is staged again tomorrow, they should be careful and focus on the closing price. As long as it is lower than 3489.79 points, there is basically no need to worry about structural risks. On the contrary, if it is higher than 3489.79 points, we should pay attention to the structural pressure later, and there is a great risk of structural adjustment.


I won't say much here. The key is to talk about the response after the market opens higher tomorrow, which is very important. Today's intraday rally, whether it is washing dishes or domestic institutions are really not optimistic about the recovery expectations, is a thing of the past. At least the positive after-hours is enough to hedge the negative data, and the moderately loose adjustment of the currency indicates that the water release turn is really coming.

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